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	<title>Comments on: Real Homes of Genius:  Today we Salute you Covina.  Banks Learn a Lesson in Mark to Reality and the $300 Billion FHA Bailout.</title>
	<link>http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/real-homes-of-genius-today-we-salute-you-covina-banks-learn-a-lesson-in-mark-to-reality-and-the-300-billion-fha-bailout/</link>
	<description>How I Learned to Love Southern California and Forget the Housing Bubble</description>
	<pubDate>Sat, 22 Nov 2008 08:54:09 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Steve</title>
		<link>http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/real-homes-of-genius-today-we-salute-you-covina-banks-learn-a-lesson-in-mark-to-reality-and-the-300-billion-fha-bailout/#comment-10219</link>
		<author>Steve</author>
		<pubDate>Fri, 04 Apr 2008 02:34:43 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/real-homes-of-genius-today-we-salute-you-covina-banks-learn-a-lesson-in-mark-to-reality-and-the-300-billion-fha-bailout/#comment-10219</guid>
		<description>AnnScott,

As always, you provide some great answers and info. Thanks.
Now, on Fox biz this evening they had a gentleman from some conservative bank that had avoided exotic lending practices. He mentioned that in some gub'ment bill the FHA would relax DTI to 55%. And I actually may have misunderstood....he may have been talking about just the mortgage (doubtful). Either way, he mentioned what many here have. this is the wrong thing to do and punishes the vast majority who have stayed within their means.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>AnnScott,</p>
<p>As always, you provide some great answers and info. Thanks.<br />
Now, on Fox biz this evening they had a gentleman from some conservative bank that had avoided exotic lending practices. He mentioned that in some gub&#8217;ment bill the FHA would relax DTI to 55%. And I actually may have misunderstood&#8230;.he may have been talking about just the mortgage (doubtful). Either way, he mentioned what many here have. this is the wrong thing to do and punishes the vast majority who have stayed within their means.</p>
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		<title>By: CompaJD</title>
		<link>http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/real-homes-of-genius-today-we-salute-you-covina-banks-learn-a-lesson-in-mark-to-reality-and-the-300-billion-fha-bailout/#comment-10215</link>
		<author>CompaJD</author>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Apr 2008 22:57:58 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/real-homes-of-genius-today-we-salute-you-covina-banks-learn-a-lesson-in-mark-to-reality-and-the-300-billion-fha-bailout/#comment-10215</guid>
		<description>There truly is no solution to the Housing Problem, except for a severe price correction. Almost every property on the market today is under distress. Currently the lower class neighborhoods are getting hit the hardest (Compton, Huntington Park, Southgate, Watts, South Central), but wait until Alt-A and option ARM loans begin resetting in 2009-2011. Then we will see a sharp correction happening all over, including Bel Air.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>There truly is no solution to the Housing Problem, except for a severe price correction. Almost every property on the market today is under distress. Currently the lower class neighborhoods are getting hit the hardest (Compton, Huntington Park, Southgate, Watts, South Central), but wait until Alt-A and option ARM loans begin resetting in 2009-2011. Then we will see a sharp correction happening all over, including Bel Air.</p>
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		<title>By: Steve</title>
		<link>http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/real-homes-of-genius-today-we-salute-you-covina-banks-learn-a-lesson-in-mark-to-reality-and-the-300-billion-fha-bailout/#comment-10213</link>
		<author>Steve</author>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Apr 2008 19:48:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/real-homes-of-genius-today-we-salute-you-covina-banks-learn-a-lesson-in-mark-to-reality-and-the-300-billion-fha-bailout/#comment-10213</guid>
		<description>Just heard a report on the radio that states that prices and sales are up in the San Fernando Valley. A Realtor was stating in the report that things have turned around and she sees future increases ahead! 
WTF? Must have closed a couple million+ homes to skew this, I'm guessing.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Just heard a report on the radio that states that prices and sales are up in the San Fernando Valley. A Realtor was stating in the report that things have turned around and she sees future increases ahead!<br />
WTF? Must have closed a couple million+ homes to skew this, I&#8217;m guessing.</p>
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		<title>By: EconE</title>
		<link>http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/real-homes-of-genius-today-we-salute-you-covina-banks-learn-a-lesson-in-mark-to-reality-and-the-300-billion-fha-bailout/#comment-10211</link>
		<author>EconE</author>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Apr 2008 17:35:45 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/real-homes-of-genius-today-we-salute-you-covina-banks-learn-a-lesson-in-mark-to-reality-and-the-300-billion-fha-bailout/#comment-10211</guid>
		<description>Dr HB...

You missed some info for that dynamic mortgage map. 

I'd like to see the first stat of how many loans per 1000 were subprime or Alt-A.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Dr HB&#8230;</p>
<p>You missed some info for that dynamic mortgage map. </p>
<p>I&#8217;d like to see the first stat of how many loans per 1000 were subprime or Alt-A.</p>
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		<title>By: Matt</title>
		<link>http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/real-homes-of-genius-today-we-salute-you-covina-banks-learn-a-lesson-in-mark-to-reality-and-the-300-billion-fha-bailout/#comment-10206</link>
		<author>Matt</author>
		<pubDate>Thu, 03 Apr 2008 15:34:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://www.doctorhousingbubble.com/real-homes-of-genius-today-we-salute-you-covina-banks-learn-a-lesson-in-mark-to-reality-and-the-300-billion-fha-bailout/#comment-10206</guid>
		<description>This bailout plan is a classic example of fixing the symptom and ignoring the disease. 

Removing the moral side of the question, let’s assume this plan goes through and 10% of Americans have their principal balance “adjusted” downward so the house becomes more affordable and they can “stay in it”. Let’s assume they get an average of a 20% adjustment, the amount prices have dropped in the last year according to Case-Shiller.

Well, what do you suppose the reaction is going to be from the pension funds / hedge funds / Foreign Sovereign Wealth funds, etc. that funded all these mortgages? I seriously doubt that they will be real thrilled to find out that when their 500 million dollar investment matures they are only getting back 80 cents on the dollar.

This action would essentially make mortgage bonds and related securities the riskiest of risky, and investors would either a) never touch them again, decreasing funds available to write mortgages or b) if they did play again they would demand much higher interest rates, lower LTVs, better coumentation of income, all of which would tighten lending standards even further.

So, by the gov’t saving the stupid/greedy few, the whole rest of the country will be faced with higher interest rates on mortgages, much tighter lending standards and an absolute decrease in the total funds available for mortgages.

And what do you suppose all of that will do to the price of housing? That’s right, drive it even lower.

The easiest way to picture this is to imagine that mortgages were illegal and all houses had to be paid for with cash that the purchaser saved themsleves; what do you suppose the median home price would be? Sure as hell not 408K like it is here in SoCal. 

So, the whole point here is that this plan, which is wrong to begin with, will have the effect of tightening credit even further, depressing home prices even farther and faster, and in 18 months all these dummies we bailed out will be right back where they started today: owing more on their house than what it is worth.

Why is this so hard for the rest of the world to understand and why do people seem to not care?</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This bailout plan is a classic example of fixing the symptom and ignoring the disease. </p>
<p>Removing the moral side of the question, let’s assume this plan goes through and 10% of Americans have their principal balance “adjusted” downward so the house becomes more affordable and they can “stay in it”. Let’s assume they get an average of a 20% adjustment, the amount prices have dropped in the last year according to Case-Shiller.</p>
<p>Well, what do you suppose the reaction is going to be from the pension funds / hedge funds / Foreign Sovereign Wealth funds, etc. that funded all these mortgages? I seriously doubt that they will be real thrilled to find out that when their 500 million dollar investment matures they are only getting back 80 cents on the dollar.</p>
<p>This action would essentially make mortgage bonds and related securities the riskiest of risky, and investors would either a) never touch them again, decreasing funds available to write mortgages or b) if they did play again they would demand much higher interest rates, lower LTVs, better coumentation of income, all of which would tighten lending standards even further.</p>
<p>So, by the gov’t saving the stupid/greedy few, the whole rest of the country will be faced with higher interest rates on mortgages, much tighter lending standards and an absolute decrease in the total funds available for mortgages.</p>
<p>And what do you suppose all of that will do to the price of housing? That’s right, drive it even lower.</p>
<p>The easiest way to picture this is to imagine that mortgages were illegal and all houses had to be paid for with cash that the purchaser saved themsleves; what do you suppose the median home price would be? Sure as hell not 408K like it is here in SoCal. </p>
<p>So, the whole point here is that this plan, which is wrong to begin with, will have the effect of tightening credit even further, depressing home prices even farther and faster, and in 18 months all these dummies we bailed out will be right back where they started today: owing more on their house than what it is worth.</p>
<p>Why is this so hard for the rest of the world to understand and why do people seem to not care?</p>
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