If all the RHoG were stacked up, you would have what on the east coast is known as a “luxury” co-op.

And it’s the same demographics–celebrities and college kids surrounded by unhappy poor and working class…Good Times !!!

I wasn’t implying that you were bombastic at all. But some contrarians come off as a bit preachy. Many from the real estate syndicate actually use this as a weapon against prospective buyers. “Look how out of touch they are” or “if you would have bought in 2003, you’d be rich now.” And frankly, they are right on a very short-sided viewpoint.

I think we live in a society where we want quick fixes for everything. Hence, as a housing bear trying to reach his audience I want folks to get it that we are in a world class bubble. If you want to buy a house in an overpriced suburb go ahead, what do I care? The reason this housing market is so out of whack is because Joe and Susie public bought this whole easy money hook line and sinker.

What can we do? Continue blogging. There are thousands of real estate blogs out there now. I remember before I started blogging, there was a handful of housing blogs and they were stigmatized even for mentioning the “b” word. Now folks land on this blog via Goolge by searching for:

“Housing bust 2007″
“Southern California price decline”
“real estate bubble”
“housing bubble”

I find it humorous how some housing pundits think that we’ve already hit the bottom because a handful of subprime lenders have bit the dust. Its like saying winter is over in late December.

Perhaps not, but financial irresponsibility has gone on so long, and gotten so bad, I don’t think many of the populous even know the difference. I may be preaching to the choir, but hopefully someone, somewhere makes a different decision.

Real Homes of Genius certainly does graphically illustrate the insanity of this bubble. It reaches you on a guttural level. You are faced with a conundrum you cannot ignore: how can these prices make sense for these houses? I wonder how many make the next logical step and wonder how today’s prices make sense for any house?

It is not as dramatic, but I get the same feeling when I see a studio condo in Irvine going for $500,000. WTF? People have to drink lots of kool-aid to feel those prices are right.

I hope I don’t come off as bombastic. I try to relate common sense people have forgotten (or perhaps never learned). I haven’t always been a paragon of financial virtue, but I suppose there are none so faithful as the converted.

Published: April 20 2007 22:52 | Last updated: April 20 2007 22:52

Far away from the sun-kissed beaches and palm trees that make up southern California’s idyllic coastline, trouble is brewing in the Inland Empire.

Two years ago the sprawling arid region that lies to the east of Los Angeles was one of California’s property hot spots.

House buyers priced out of expensive Orange County and the more affluent neighbourhoods of Los Angeles poured into towns such as Riverside, Moreno Valley and Perris. Limited housing stock and a relatively benign regulatory environment attracted developers, who built scores of new homes.

For a while, the Inland Empire rode the coat-tails of the California housing bubble as buyers, many of whom had limited financial means, took out subprime mortgages with low “teaser” rates.

But with the subprime sector collapsing, the area is facing a looming crisis, with an increasing number of homeowners delinquent, or failing to make payments on their loans. Delinquency often leads to mortgage foreclosure, or the repossession of the house by the lender.

“It used to be that we would get one call a month from someone needing help [about mortgage foreclosure],” says Vilma Mercado, home ownership centres manager with the Neighbourhood Housing Service of the Inland Empire, which promotes home ownership. “Now we’re getting close to 50.”

It is easy to see why towns in the region appeal to property buyers. In Moreno Valley, in the heart of Riverside County, residential streets are laid out in a grid system of predominantly low-rise homes, well maintained with large gardens and quiet, safe streets.

Riverside County appears to have been most badly hit by the subprime collapse, with mortgage defaults in the first three months of the year up 168 per cent on the same period of 2006, according to DataQuick.

Several factors have contributed to the region’s problems. “There’s a lot of predatory lending going on,” says Gary Aguilar, vice-president of counselling services at Springboard, a national service for people struggling with debt, which is based in Riverside. “I heard of one homeowner going through a divorce who ended up with a $115,000 [£57,410] mortgage on a $45,000 home.”

When property prices were rising, buyers did not want to miss out, he says. “Everyone was jumping on board to buy a home. The majority of people did whatever they could do to have the American Dream and purchased homes they just couldn’t afford.”

Ms Mercado says many buyers were not adequately prepared. “A lot of people moved into these areas thinking they were more affordable, but didn’t understand what they were getting into.” The increase in foreclosures in the region, she adds, is “absolutely overwhelming”.

Almost two years ago Sonya Mcphearson and her husband moved from Los Angeles to San Bernadino, where they bought a six-bedroom house for $480,000. Ms Mcphearson works in a hospital in Los Angeles 70 miles away. She commutes by train but stays with her sister during the week to save money. Her husband is a truck driver.

Ms Mcphearson says that the couple were unaware they had taken out an adjustable rate mortgage. “Our payments went up and we couldn’t afford to pay. Now we’re three months behind and we’ve been told we have to leave. I don’t know what we’re going to do.”

Refinancing the mortgage is not an option. The Inland Empire was one of the last parts of California to experience dramatic house price inflation, with the price of property in some towns doubling in five years.

But last year the number of newly built houses coming on to the market reached its highest level in two decades. Prices fell and many of the buyers who had taken out subprime mortgages found themselves trapped. They could no longer rely on the equity in their homes to refinance their loans.

“Anything can turn that has doubled in five years,” says Dr Christopher Cagan, director of research and analytics at First American Real Estate Solutions, which tracks real estate sales. Meanwhile, the Inland Empire “ran out of new buyers” which exacerbated the problem.

“What we have [in the Inland Empire] is an explosion of building and an explosion of generous lending. There was no single villain: this was a market phenomenon characterised by 30 years of [house price] growth with very few defaults. There is no one person or company to point to,” he adds.

This has not stopped the California Department of Justice from pressing on with an investigation into predatory lending. It is unlikely that action will be taken imminently, though, as the state has been examining the issue for almost five years.

Further, the US Supreme Court appears to have curtailed California’s ambitions with a ruling this week that limits the power of individual states to regulate lending practices.

However, any action that California or the federal government takes to resolve the subprime collapse is likely to come too late for the people currently facing foreclosure in the Inland Empire.

The increase in foreclosures has “come on strongly and quickly and none of us anticipated it”, says Ms Mercado. “And it is nowhere near ending.”

People might not realize that a good % of people in OC work directly in Real Estate/Financing, except Santa Ana(teh guesthouse of OC). That’s why values have not plummeted yet int he OC. Many people have a hand in their own transaction.

The affordability index should make you shudder.

I read a great article on how the bubble will affect the illegal immigrant workforce, as housing suffers. We’ll probably see increases in crime as migrant workers lose their jobs in construction